Military
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Fairford Changes the Argument: The Case for British Military Action Against Iran
Britain’s first duty is to protect its people and its territory. When a foreign state is assessed to have directed hostile activity near a military base in England, the government must consider whether its existing response is strong enough. The incident near RAF Fairford on 27 September has brought that question into sharp focus. On… Continue reading
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NATO’s Bombing of Serbia Was a Failure of European Fraternity
Europe’s promise must be that its peoples can live together without fear of persecution, expulsion or bombardment. That promise applies equally to a family in Belgrade and a family in Pristina. It cannot depend on which government rules them, which language they speak or which military alliance claims to represent their interests. Measured against that… Continue reading
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Putin’s War Machine Could Outlast the War in Ukraine
The debate surrounding Russia assumes its military and economy will eventually collapse, ending the war in Ukraine. However, Russia’s capacity for prolonged confrontation remains concerning. Even if fighting ceases, the existing military infrastructure could persist, posing future threats. Strategic support for Ukraine is essential to deter further aggression and ensure lasting peace. Continue reading
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How Likely Is a Russian Invasion of the United Kingdom?
Short answer: a conventional Russian invasion of Britain is extremely unlikely. Russian aggression against the UK, however, is already taking place in less visible forms—and those threats deserve serious attention. Images of Russian troops landing on British beaches belong more readily to fiction than to any realistic military plan. The United Kingdom is an island,… Continue reading
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How Likely Is an American Political Takeover of Canada?
The likelihood of American annexation or military takeover of Canada is extremely low, primarily due to widespread Canadian opposition and constitutional challenges. However, subtle American influence through economic pressure and political interference is already occurring, raising concerns about Canada’s sovereignty. Maintaining independence requires vigilance and resilience against such influences. Continue reading
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The Houthis Must Be Confronted: Why Britain Needs a Firmer Strategy in the Red Sea
The international community has spent too long treating Houthi attacks on commercial shipping as an unpleasant disruption rather than a direct challenge to international security. These are not harmless acts of protest. Missiles, drones and armed vessels have been used against merchant ships carrying civilian crews through one of the world’s most important maritime corridors.… Continue reading
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25 Years After 9/11: The Day That Changed the World
25 years today from 9/11. On the day I was working for Southern Electric selling gas and electric on the doorstep in Bristol. I went to a woman’s home and she invited me straight in to see the action live on TV. The first plane had just crashed and we watched the second plane crash… Continue reading
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Will Argentina Invade the Falkland Islands Again?
An Argentine invasion of the Falkland Islands is unlikely in the near future, despite increasing political tensions and economic pressures fueled by oil development. President Milei continues to seek peaceful resolution while modernizing military forces. The situation suggests a focus on diplomatic and legal avenues rather than military conflict, though miscalculations remain a risk. Continue reading
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What Would a Real Peace Between Russia and Ukraine Look Like?
Achieving peace in Ukraine requires more than halting conflict; it must ensure sovereignty and prevent rewarding aggression. Various peace outcomes exist, ranging from temporary ceasefires to negotiations fostering stability. Proper monitoring, security guarantees, and humanitarian measures are vital. An incomplete, phased approach focusing on accountability can help Ukrainians live securely while deterring renewed aggression. Continue reading
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Chatham House: Europe after Nord Stream: The limits of energy security
This Chatham House meeting is chaired by Katja Bego (Senior Research Fellow, Chatham House Europe Programme). also on the pane are: James Black — Deputy Director, Defence and Security; European Lead, Space, RAND Europe, Dr. Kalina K. Damianova — Visiting Research Fellow, King’s College London, Bojan Pancevski — Chief European Political Correspondent, The Wall Street… Continue reading
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